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This chapter is on quantitative models of sovereign debt crises in emerging economies. We interpret debt crises broadly to cover all of the major problems a country can experience while trying to issue new debt, including default, sharp increases in the spread and failed auctions. We examine the...
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the World Bank (WB). Finally, we find evidence of synchronization between MDBs and IMF during fiscal crises. …
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This paper studies whether IMF programs and their size affect borrowing costs by comparing the coupon of bonds issued around an IMF arrangement. By comparing bonds issued immediately before the inset of the program with bonds issued immediately after the program, we show that, on average, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014520753
Ausgelöst durch das Zusammentreffen niedriger Zinsen in reichen Ländern und einem hohen Finanzierungsbedarf für Infrastruktur in vielen ärmeren Ländern befindet sich die Verschuldung der Länder des Globalen Südens seit Jahren auf einem dramatisch hohen Niveau. Hohe Schuldendienstzahlungen...
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estimation, a news shock has a larger contemporaneous impact on sovereign credit spreads than a comparable shock to labor … and a variance decomposition similar to the empirical VAR estimates. The dynamics of the economy after a bad news shock … share some features of a productivity shock and others of sudden stop events. However, unlike episodes of sudden stops, long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011950496
The wave of sovereign defaults in the early 1980s and the string of debt crises in the decades that followed have fostered proposals involving policy interventions in sovereign debt restructurings. A key question about these proposals that has proved hard to handle is how they in influence the...
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