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We apply utility indifference pricing to solve a contingent claim problem, valuing a connected pair of gas fields where the underlying process is not standard Geometric Brownian motion and the assumption of complete markets is not fulfilled. First, empirical data are often characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
The rapid development of artificial intelligence methods contributes to their wide applications for forecasting various financial risks in recent years. This study introduces a novel explainable case-based reasoning (CBR) approach without a requirement of rich expertise in financial risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584957
Ever since the emergence of economics as a distinct scientific discipline, policy makers have turned to economic models to guide policy interventions. If policy makers seek to enhance growth of an open capitalist economy, they have to take into account, firstly, the uncertainties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281255
We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348343
We present a preference foundation for Chance Theory (CT), a model of decision making under uncertainty where the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202765
uncertainty and other effects that are particularly manifest in cognitive processes, which makes it well suited for the study of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514496
uncertainty. In this paper, we show that salience theory provides the prediction that Allais paradoxes should never occur in the … context of uncertainty. A finding which contra-dicts the scarce evidence existing up to now, and which indicates that further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919995
We assess the ability of different risk profiling measures to predict risk taking along a multi-stage decision process. The latter involves decisions under ambiguity, decisions under risk, decisions after gaining experience and decisions after receiving outcome information on previous decisions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874728
Assuming that an individual's rank in the wealth distribution is the only factor determining the individual's wellbeing, we analyze the individual's risk preferences in relation to gaining or losing rank, rather than the individual's risk preferences towards gaining or losing absolute wealth. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131582
We examine the risky choices of pairs of contestants in a popular radio game show in France. At one point during the COVID-19 pandemic the show, held in person, had to switch to an all-remote format. We find that such an exogenous change in social context affected risk-taking behavior. Remotely,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440406