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One of the most complex systems is the human brain whose formalized functioning is characterized by decision theory. We present a "Quantum Decision Theory" of decision-making, based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces. This mathematical structure captures the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008672365
Humans are notoriously bad at understanding probabilities, exhibiting a host of biases and distortions that are context dependent. This has serious consequences on how we assess risks and make decisions. Several theories have been developed to replace the normative rational expectation theory at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219210
We present the first calibration of quantum decision theory (QDT) to an empirical data set. The data comprise 91 choices between two lotteries (two "prospects") presented in 91 random pairs made by 142 subjects offered at two separated times. First, we quantitatively account for the fraction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516615
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877333
Quantum decision theory (QDT) is a recently developed theory of decision making based on the mathematics of Hilbert spaces, a framework known in physics for its application to quantum mechanics. This framework formalizes the concept of uncertainty and other effects that are particularly manifest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514496
One of the most complex systems is the human brain whose formalized functioning is characterized by decision theory. We present a quot;Quantum Decision Theoryquot; of decision making, based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces. This mathematical structure captures the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962110
Decision making of agents who are members of a society is analyzed from the point of view of quantum decision theory. This generalizes the approach, developed earlier by the authors for separate individuals, to decision making under the influence of social interactions. The generalized approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009560805
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008904734
The Quantum Decision Theory, developed recently by the authors, is applied to clarify the role of risk and uncertainty in decision making and in particular in relation to the phenomenon of dynamic inconsistency. By formulating this notion in precise mathematical terms, we distinguish three types...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202470
We consider the psychological effect of preference reversal and show that it finds a natural explanation in the frame of quantum decision theory. When people choose between lotteries with non-negative payoffs, they prefer a more certain lottery because of uncertainty aversion. But when people...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014083