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activity on optimal consumption and investment. Here, learning introduces two sources of risk about future payoffs: structural … uncertainty and uncertainty from the anticipation of learning. The latter renders control and learning nonseparable. We present … decreases optimal consumption are provided. The effect depends on the strengths and directions of the two sources of risk, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051128
uncertainty into Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). Uncertainty is transformed into a risk-premium, damage-correction, region …. This risk premium quantifies what society would be willing to pay to insure against the uncertainty of the damages, and it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451668
Maximising expected value is the classic doctrine in choice theory under empirical uncertainty, and a prominent … proposal in the emerging literature on normative uncertainty, i.e., uncertainty about the standard of evaluation. But how … difference lies in the perspective from which expectations are taken, or equivalently the amount of uncertainty packed into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861551
Behavioral economics characterizes decision-makers using psychologically-informed models. Cognitive science produces psychologically-informed models. Why don't these disciplines talk more? Here, the author presents several arguments for why cognitive science should inform behavioral economics -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976074
This paper presents an intertemporal model of growing awareness. It provides a framework for analyzing problems with long time horizons in the presence of growing awareness and awareness of unawareness. The framework generalizes both the standard event-tree framework and the framework from Karni...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722303
, such as decision under Knightian uncertainty, the dynamics of economic (in)stability, and the voters’ preferences over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130847
This paper studies Pareto-optimal risk-sharing arrangements in a private information economy with aggregate uncertainty … consumption contingent on aggregate shocks in financial markets. The first result is that if aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks … aggregate states in which consumption is more volatile. For instance, this can provide an efficiency justification for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467943
This paper studies Pareto-optimal risk-sharing arrangements in a private information economy with aggregate uncertainty … consumption contingent on aggregate shocks in financial markets. The first result is that if aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks … aggregate states in which consumption is more volatile. For instance, this can provide an efficiency justification for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460841
asset pricing uncertainty premia and design of robust macroeconomic policies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025622