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We present a tractable model of the effects of nonfinancial risk on intertemporal choice. Our purpose is to provide a simple framework that can be adopted in fields like representative-agent macroeconomics, corporate finance, or political economy, where most modelers have chosen not to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864314
We develop a dynamic model to study the interaction between obfuscation and investor sophistication in retail financial markets. Taking into account different learning mechanisms within the investor population, we characterize the optimal timing of obfuscation for a profit-maximizing monopolist....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971343
Ellsberg's experiment involved a gamble with no ambiguity (N) and a gamble where the prize that could be won is objectively known, but the winning probability depends on the (ambiguous) urn's composition (P). We extend this by including a gamble where the winning probability is objectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008908886
A nonparametric approach is presented to test whether decisions on a probability simplex could be induced by quasiconcave preferences. Necessary and sufficient conditions are presented. If the answer is affirmative, the methods developed here allow to reconstruct bounds on indifference curves....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950963
The paper proposes a framework to extend regret theory to dynamic contexts. The key idea is to conceive of a dynamic decision problem with regret as an intra-personal game in which the agent forms conjectures about the behaviour of the various counterfactual selves that he could have been. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366556
Ellsberg's experiment involved a gamble with no ambiguity (N) and a gamble where the prize that could be won is objectively known, but the winning probability depends on the (ambiguous) urn's composition (P). We extend this by including a gamble where the winning probability is objectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130165
A multiple-prior decision maker is open-minded if she can describe, as subjective uncertainty, all convex sets of distributions over payoff relevant consequences. Theorem 1: open-mindedness is equivalent to the ability to subjectively describe both the uniform distribution on an interval and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840828
We investigate the origin of stochastic choice and differentiate between three classes of models that account for it: Random Utility, Bounded Rationality, and Deliberate Randomization. We conduct an experiment in which subjects face the same questions repeated multiple times, but we consider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017580
The WHO defines vaccine hesitancy as one of the ten biggest threats to global health nowadays. To contribute to finding a solution for vaccine hesitancy, this study aims at gaining new insights on the influence of the default effect, anticipated regret, and decision roles on vaccination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210789
The ability to uncover preferences from choices is fundamental for both positive economics and welfare analysis. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm in applied microeconomics. However, as is well known, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243088