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Sentiment should exhibit its strongest effects on asset prices at times when valuations are most subjective. Consistent with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
The "quant crisis" of 2007 and subsequent unfolding of the global financial crisis highlighted the importance of the "crowded-trade" problem (not being able to know how many others are taking the same position). To investigate the crowded trading, we present a model in which informed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910555
We show theoretically that when Bayesian investors face time-series uncertainty about assets' risk exposures …, differences in their priors affect the pricing of risk in the cross-section: different priors for the same asset can generate … differences in perceived risk exposures, and thereby differences in required returns. The main testable implication is that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935196
empirical evidence is consistent with investors’ attitudes toward uncertainty and risk, firms’ fundamentals and leverage effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887264
Uncertainty is known to be crucial in asset pricing, yet evidence from comprehensive analysis of various uncertainty measures remains sparse. This paper investigates the predictability of stock returns based on economic fundamentals uncertainty by constructing a novel uncertainty index derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351430
the consumption-based specification of the risk premium. The relevance of Knightian uncertainty is inconsistent with all … REH models, regardless of how they specify the market's risk premium. The authors' evidence is also inconsistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309720
intermediaries to lower expected returns and non-fundamental price fluctuations. In anticipation, risk-averse intermediaries trade … time-variation in the risk premium, Sharpe ratio and volatility even when risk aversion and the variance of fundamental … of fundamentals, the mechanism highlighted suggests fluctuations in the risk premium can be sub-optimal to the extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128328
releases. This effect is stronger when the aggregate market uncertainty is high and when earnings announcements carry more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834681
Cryptocurrencies have emerged as an innovative alternative investment asset class, traded in data-rich markets by globally distributed investors. Although significant attention has been devoted to their pricing properties, to-date, academic literature on behavioral drivers remains less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844436
announcements do little to resolve that uncertainty. We provide evidence consistent with the latter explanation. We develop two … earnings announcements as a whole …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902652