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uncertainty on firms' decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of … index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that greater uncertainty has a negative impact on growth of employment and the … generally non-existent or weaker. Our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on firms' decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764986
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349194
practical prevalence of uncertainty. Theoretically complete models conceal it. As a remedy a scenario-based procedure of coping … with uncertainty can prescribe how the boundedly rational decision-maker should proceed from her or his internal point of … view. Though models of substantive rationality cannot serve as guidance for decision-making under uncertainty, we can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283827
Consider legal uncertainty as uncertainty about the legality of a specific action. In particular, suppose that the … threshold of legality is uncertain. I show that this legal uncertainty raises welfare. Legal uncertainty changes deterrence in … decreases for firms above the threshold. Hence, legal uncertainty acts as a welfare enhancing screen and increases welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557794
This paper identifies cognitive conditions under which a rational individual or group decision-maker will want to commit ex ante to some choice restrictions, in order to get extra information about an uncertain state of nature. We show that the implemented limitations will then bring her to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112986
-level uncertainty and imperfect information over their life cycle. We find that firms make non-negligible and positively correlated … informed. Moreover, young firms tend to wait long before entering or exiting the market faced with high uncertainty about their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258487
This contribution argues that uncertainty is integrated into the modern economic systems; however its autochthonously … increasing feature is puzzling and should be addressed in a more dedicated way. Behind the curtain of increasing uncertainty, we … are contributing to the deepening global distribution of uncertainty in the advanced world by establishing a vicious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414861
This paper analyses the formation of international environmental agreements (IEAs) under uncertainty, focusing on the … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234539
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186704
Uncertainty shapes the trajectory of business cycles and remains a central research topic in Macroeconomics. When … studying the impact of uncertainty on the economy, economists use different uncertainty measures. While all indicators … approximate uncertainty along some certain dimension, none of the indicators directly captures Knightian Uncertainty. According to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012005167