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of beliefs (or ambiguity), imprecision of tastes (or multi-utility), and state dependence of utility. Examples include … phenomena, as well as state-dependent multi-utility generalisations of popular ambiguity models …Many decision situations involve two or more of the following divergences from subjective expected utility: imprecision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120578
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070877
researchers especially in health economics emphasizing the policy importance of the phenomenon. Although the bias has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910098
health outcomes conditional on observed patient covariates. Let y be an outcome of interest and let (x=k, w=j) be observed … patient covariates. Suppose a clinician wants to choose a care option that maximizes a patient's expected utility conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994408
This paper shows that, for CEU preferences, the axioms consquentialism, state independence and conditional certainty equivalent consistency under updating characterise a family of capacities, called Genralised Neo-Additive Capacities (GNAC). This family contains as special cases among others...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003893438
We present a non-technical account of ambiguity in strategic games and show how it may be applied to economics and … social sciences. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We show that pessimism has the … ambiguity on peace-making are examined. It is shown that ambiguity may select equilibria in coordination games with multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003592769
Ambiguity refers to a decision situation under uncertainty when there is incomplete information about the likelihood of … ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003592835
Traditionally, real experiments testing subjective expected utility theory take for granted that subjects view the …, with the game ranging from a zero-sum one to a coordination game. Meanwhile, the predictions by ambiguity aversion models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281640
differences lies in the dichotomy between first-order and second-order ambiguity aversion which I define here. My definition and …-order ambiguity aversion a positive exposure to ambiguity is optimal if and only if there is a subjective belief such that the actś … expected outcome is positive. With first-order ambiguity aversion, zero exposure to ambiguity can be optimal. Examples in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349377
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678