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I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive … ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four times relative to when uncertainty is at its mean. We find similar … sensitive to sentiment and for anomaly returns is substantially larger in times of higher uncertainty. The results hold for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
uncertainty, given that their interaction should be incorporated into the valuation process. In response, financial theory has … proposed valuation approaches that allow different sources of uncertainty to be represented by a consolidated estimate of … treatment that incorporates the dynamics of each uncertainty can be given. In this context, there are different proposals that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230701
uncertainty. We construct a notion of a modeluncertainty-induced utility function and show that model uncertainty increases …-Requejo (2000) to compute lower and upper gooddeal bounds in the presence of model uncertainty. We illustrate the methodology using … some numerical examples. -- asset pricing theory ; good-deal bounds ; Knightian uncertainty ; model uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679505
We focus on the effect of preference specifications on the current day valuation of future outcomes. Specifically, we analyze the effect of risk aversion, ambiguity aversion and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution on the willingness to pay to avoid climate change risk. The first part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024032
We develop a way of ranking and scoring actively managed funds and investment strategies. Our performance measure accounts for the feature that investors may exhibit caution, via the mechanism of ambiguity aversion, when evaluating investment strategies. Linking developed theory to data, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403587
This paper offers an ambiguity-based interpretation of variance premium --- the difference between risk-neutral and objective expectations of market return variance --- as a compounding effect of both belief distortion and variance differential regarding the uncertain economic regimes. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109037
This paper offers an ambiguity-based interpretation of variance premium - the difference between risk-neutral and objective expectations of market return variance - as a compounding effect of both belief distortion and variance differential regarding the uncertain economic regimes. Our approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011939896
uncertainty, which cannot be reduced to a probability distribution, underpins outcomes in the stock market. This finding reveals … the consumption-based specification of the risk premium. The relevance of Knightian uncertainty is inconsistent with all … Expectations Hypothesis, which recognizes the relevance of Knightian uncertainty in driving outcomes in real-world markets. Their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309720
uncertainty, which cannot be reduced to a probability distribution, underpins outcomes in the stock market. This finding reveals … the consumption-based specification of the risk premium. The relevance of Knightian uncertainty is inconsistent with all … Hypothesis, which recognizes the relevance of Knightian uncertainty in driving outcomes in real-world markets. Our novel data is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279656