Showing 1 - 10 of 3,543
with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive … ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four times relative to when uncertainty is at its mean. We find similar … sensitive to sentiment and for anomaly returns is substantially larger in times of higher uncertainty. The results hold for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
uncertainty. We construct a notion of a modeluncertainty-induced utility function and show that model uncertainty increases …-Requejo (2000) to compute lower and upper gooddeal bounds in the presence of model uncertainty. We illustrate the methodology using … some numerical examples. -- asset pricing theory ; good-deal bounds ; Knightian uncertainty ; model uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009679505
measures, and spatial and time fixed measures of expected future prices and price uncertainty. This method improves the … price uncertainty by a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. To explore for the presence … of real options in house prices, vacant land sales price is regressed on SDM measures of future house price uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907553
We study how macroeconomic uncertainty (EU) manifests into the cross-sectional variations of the credit default swap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246235
This paper presents a new robust predictor for option returns: the uncertainty of put-call parity violation (VVS). We … the classical uncertainty and limit-to-arbitrage measures, the predictability still cannot be explained by standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403606
uncertainty, given that their interaction should be incorporated into the valuation process. In response, financial theory has … proposed valuation approaches that allow different sources of uncertainty to be represented by a consolidated estimate of … treatment that incorporates the dynamics of each uncertainty can be given. In this context, there are different proposals that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230701
This paper offers an ambiguity-based interpretation of variance premium --- the difference between risk-neutral and objective expectations of market return variance --- as a compounding effect of both belief distortion and variance differential regarding the uncertain economic regimes. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109037
, economic uncertainty, and risk premia influence firms' financing and default policies. Countercyclical fluctuations in risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155971
I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
This paper offers an ambiguity-based interpretation of variance premium - the difference between risk-neutral and objective expectations of market return variance - as a compounding effect of both belief distortion and variance differential regarding the uncertain economic regimes. Our approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011939896