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different concepts to analyse human behaviour: Economists use economic preference parameters rooted in utility theory, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851581
-choice tasks for elicitation of risk attitudes. First, I compare the investment task of Gneezy and Potters (1997) with the standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823266
theory. These models have successfully explained many so-called, “anomalies” in field data, but often imply that agents have … over uncertainty resolution in the domain of objective uncertainty, i.e., risk. By definition, uncertainty includes both … respect to subjective uncertainty, i.e., ambiguity, in addition to risk. We find that subjects most frequently exhibit a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290576
This paper explores three aspects of strategic uncertainty: its relation to risk, predictability of behavior and … games and one lottery. Behavior in coordination games is related to risk aversion, experience seeking, and age. From the … to the global-game solution. Comparing choices in coordination games with revealed risk aversion, we estimate subjective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318801
We investigate whether violations of canonical axioms of choice under risk are mistakes or a manifestation of true …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556632
utility all predict unequivocally that risk-averse decision makers (DMs) will avoid the 50 - 50 urn that exhibits the highest … risk conceivable, while risk-seeking DMs do the opposite. However, we observe a substantial number of violations in the … notions of second- order risk. This finding is robust even when there is only partial ambiguity, and is applicable to all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801484
specification includes two parameters: one for ambiguity attitudes and another for risk attitudes. We also estimate a three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757224
A hypothesis of uncertain future was created and first applied in the field of utility and prospect theories. An extension of application of the hypothesis to the field of forecasting is considered in the article. The concept of inevitability of unforeseen events is a part of the hypothesis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057407
We consider an experimental setting where agents receive one stylized piece of information at a time about the value of a lottery. We find that Knightian uncertainty about the prior distribution of true lottery values does not hamper decision making by agents and markets. On a mean squared error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203658
We conduct two experiments where subjects make a sequence of binary choices between risky and ambiguous binary lotteries. Risky lotteries are defined as lotteries where the relative frequencies of outcomes are known. Ambiguous lotteries are lotteries where the relative frequencies of outcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084883