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This paper provides new evidence on the dynamic dependences of European corporate credit spread in three markets: Bond, Credit Default Swap (CDS), and Asset Swap (ASP). Using daily data from 2005 to 2009, we find that credit spread returns are primarily driven by innovations. The intra-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115436
The standard approach of evaluating flexible power plants in deregulated markets is by modelling the spark spread. While this takes account of the volatility of electricity prices and cost of gas and CO2, it does not take account of technical costs (such as ramping up and down) and it ignores...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122821
Risk management in an industry which is characterized by high volatility in prices, seasonality, strong business cycles, cyclicality and capital intensiveness is extremely important. Shipowners face numerous risks in relation to fluctuations in freight rates, bunker rates, interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070965
This paper examines hedging effectiveness of four agricultural (Soybean, Corn, Castor seed and Guar seed) and seven non-agricultural (Gold, Silver, Aluminium, Copper, Zinc, Crude oil and Natural gas) futures contracts traded in India. We apply VECM and CCC-MGARCH model to estimate constant hedge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151398
GARCH-jump models of metal price returns, while allowing for sudden movements (jumps), apply the same specification of the jump component in both ‘bear' and ‘bull' markets. As a result, the more frequent but relatively small jumps that occur in both bear and bull markets dominate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158086
In a seminal article, Samuelson (1965) [Samuelson, P. A. (1965), “Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate randomly,” Industrial Management Review 6, 41–49.] proposes the maturity effect that the volatility of futures prices should increase as futures contract approaches maturity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159663
We endorse the idea, suggested in recent literature, that BitCoin prices are influenced by sentiment and confidence about the underlying technology; as a consequence, an excitement about the BitCoin system may propagate to BitCoin prices causing a Bubble effect, the presence of which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902367
This paper analyses the role of liquidity in the price discovery process. Specifically, it focuses on the credit derivatives markets in the context of the subprime crisis. It presents a theoretical price discovery model for the ASP, bond and CDS markets and then it tests the model with data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868923
This research studies determinants of silver futures price volatility in Thailand Futures Exchange using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model. The sample data consist of daily closing price, volume, and open interest of silver futures from the period June 21, 2011 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003745
We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new measure, the Markov chain driving the regimes is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004851