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I develop and test a model to study the interaction between the commodity and stock markets. This study attempts to clarify the debate about the effect of financialization on commodity markets. Theoretically, the futures risk premium is determined by hedging pressure, stock market returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851801
The investment industry lacks an unified framework for handling derivative instruments in general portfolio management. With the increased use of derivatives, there is a need for a framework that aligns fundamental terminology and concepts. The main challenges with the current practices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236873
This paper deals with the modeling of the relationship of European Union Allowance spot- and futures-prices within the second commitment period of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme. Based on high frequency data, we analyze causality in the first and the second conditional moments. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003902551
In usual pricing approaches for weather derivatives, forward-looking information such as meteorological weather forecasts is not considered. Thus, important knowledge used by market participants is ignored in theory. By extending a standard model for the daily temperature, this paper allows the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663382
Commodity derivatives were introduced in India with a dual purpose of promoting price discovery and enhancing risk management in the commodities market. A transaction tax (of 0.01 per cent) on commodity futures trading was introduced in the Union Budget 2013-14. This study examines the rationale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354169
Using futures data for the period 1990 - 2008, this paper finds evidence that expansionary monetary policy surprises tend to increase crude and heating oil prices, and contractionary monetary policy shocks increase gold and platinum prices. Our analysis uncovers substantial heterogeneity in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201348
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133408
We explored the application of a machine learning method, Logitboost, to automatically calibrate a trading model using different versions of the same technical analysis indicators. This approach takes advantage of boosting's feature selection capability to select an optimal combination of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091289
Implied volatility and other forward-looking measures of option-implied uncertainty help investors carefully evaluate market sentiment and expectations. We construct several measures of implied uncertainty in European government bond futures. In the first part, we create new volatility indices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833681
During the stock market turmoil and later on in the year 2008, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) suspended trading in futures products at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) due to their proven destabilizing role in Global Financial Crises (GFC). On July 27th 2009, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955048