We investigate the pricing of temperature derivatives under weather forecasts modeled by enlarged filtrations. We also treat option pricing and optimal portfolio selection in temperature markets with future information. We finally prove an anticipative sufficient stochastic minimum principle and...

Weather derivatives are contingent claims with payoff based on a pre-specified weather index. Firms exposed to weather risk can transfer it to financial markets via weather derivatives. We develop a utility-based model for pricing baskets of weather derivatives in over-the-counter markets under...

This paper presents general approach to description of business cycles aggregate fluctuations of economic and financial variables. We model economics as ensemble of agents on economic space and agent's risk ratings play role of their coordinates. Aggregation of variables of agents with...

In this paper we discuss the continued transition of financial markets towards trade standardization and the clearing of transactions, outlining the role of central clearing counterparties CCPs in reducing systemic and idiosyncratic risk. We contrast this with a discussion on bespoke non-cleared...

Many electricity markets exhibit an oligopolistic structure with market participants whose individual trading activities may shift prices essentially. In this context, the question of how to optimally liquidate an existing electricity futures portfolio over a fixed time horizon under the...

Quantitative structuring is a rigorous framework for the design of financial products. We show how it incorporates traditional investment ideas while supporting a more accurate expression of clients' views. We touch upon adjacent topics regarding the safety of financial derivatives and the role...

We analyze the dependency of the optimal hedge and its efficiency on the correlation between the asset to be hedged, and the hedge instrument. The optimal portion of the hedge instrument depends on this correlation, and on the ratio of the volatilities. Efficiency is defined as the percental...

Metamodeling techniques have recently been proposed to address the computational issues related to the valuation of large portfolios of variable annuity contracts. However, it is extremely difficult, if not impossible, for researchers to obtain real datasets from insurance companies in order to...

We derive risk-neutral option price formulas for plain-vanilla and exotic electricity futures derivatives on the basis of diverse arithmetic multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck spot price models admitting seasonality. In these setups, we take additional forward-looking knowledge on future price...

We derive risk-neutral option price formulas for plain-vanilla temperature futures derivatives on the basis of several multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature models which allow for seasonality in the mean level and volatility. Our main innovation consists in an incorporation of omnipresent...