There have been 128 defaults among U.S. CDS reference entities between 2001 and 2020. Within this sample, the five-year CDS spread is a significant predictor of corporate default in models with equity market covariates and firm attributes. This finding holds for forecast horizons up to 12...

We study the determination of liquidity provision as measured by the number of distinct dealers providing quotes in the single-name credit default swap (CDS) market. Cross-sectionally, liquidity is concentrated among large obligors and those near the investment-grade/speculative-grade cutoff....

We examine the effect of credit default swap (CDS) trading on firm investment, finding a post-CDS introduction decrease in debt issuance and acquisitions, which remains robust to propensity score matching, instrumenting CDS introduction, and controlling for past investment and financing...