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Debt sustainability analysis for euro area sovereigns : a methodological framework

Bouabdallah, Othman; Checherita-Westphal, Cristina; … - 2017

The euro area sovereign debt crisis has highlighted the importance of reducing public debt levels and building up sufficient fiscal buffers during normal and good times. It has also reaffirmed the need for a thorough debt sustainability analysis (DSA) to act as a warning system for national...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011634439

The economic and monetary union : past, present and future

Dąbrowski, Marek - 2019

Twenty years of euro history confirms the euro's stability and position as the second global currency. It also enjoys the support of majority of the euro area population and is seen as a good thing for the European Union. The European Central Bank has been successful in keeping inflation at a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029380

Economic stabilisation and performance in West Africa : the role of fiscal and monetary policy

Mesagan, Ekundayo P.; Yusuf, Ismaila A. - 2019

The study examines the impact of fiscal and monetary policy on economic performance and stabilisation in Nigeria … proxy economic performance and economic stabilisation respectively while fiscal policy is captured with deficit finance and … confirms that monetary policy significantly drives economic stabilisation in Nigeria and the Gambia, but insignificantly in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137607

Inflation dynamics under fiscal deficit regime switching in Mexico

Ramos-Francia, Manuel; García-Verdú, Santiago; … - 2018

We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165948

Tax cuts starve the beast! : evidence from Germany

Fuest, Clemens; Neumeier, Florian; Stöhlker, Daniel - 2019

The 'starving the beast' hypothesis claims that tax cuts lead to lower public spending, rather than higher debt levels and higher taxes in the future. This paper uses the institutional setting of German fiscal federalism to its advantage in order to explore how fiscal policy reacts to exogenous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157329

Partisan fiscal policy : evidence from Central and Eastern Europe

Schneider, Ondřej - 2019

This paper examines effects of political ideology of a governing party on fiscal outcomes, using data from eight Central and Eastern European countries in the 2001-2017 period. The analysis shows that there is a statistically significant effect of conservative governments on fiscal variables,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157827

Fiscal sustainability : conceptual, institutional, and policy issues

Dąbrowski, Marek - 2016

Since 2008, the world economy has been facing the consequences of the global financial crisis. As a result, many economic policy paradigms have been revised, and this process is far from complete. The policy area, which needs a fundamental rethinking (especially in advanced economies), relates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011706402

The scarring effects of major economic downturns : the role of fiscal policy and government investment

Larch, Martin; Claeys, Peter; Van Der Wielen, Wouter - 2022

stabilisation tool. At the same time, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting effects on real GDP in … fiscal expansion, and (ii) find the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation while …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448651

Monetary-fiscal policy relations in the euro area : the impact on the primary balance

Dascher-Preising, Fabienne; Greiner, Alfred - 2022

With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335018

Debt limit, fiscal space and fiscal fatigue in the Central and Eastern European countries of EU

Iancu, Aurel; Olteanu, Dan - 2023

This study analyzes the correlation between the primary budget balance and the public debt over the last two decades, for a panel of 12 countries from Central and Eastern Europe, in order to assess their debt sustainability, the level of debt at which fiscal fatigue may occur, as well as the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312934