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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618199
The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189048
The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806603
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780135
This study proposes an analytical framework towards behavioral political economy of institutional change. It considers institutional changes as central government’s choices under uncertainty, which are largely driven by the strategic outcomes in a behavioral coordination game between local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404541
Part II -- Chapter 5: How many real biases are there? -- Chapter 6: How do people form expectations in the real world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012396820
decades has there been such a broad shift in inflation perception, and therefore, possibly, in inflation expectations. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488355
In this paper we study the effect of optimistic income expectations on life satisfaction amongst the Chinese population … strong in the countryside and amongst rural-to-urban migrants. The importance of these expectations for life satisfaction is … particularly pronounced in the urban areas, though also highly significant for the rural area. If expectations were to reverse from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597452
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009505577