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Based on multivariate linear regression models, we analyze the effect of the lunar cycle and the number of sunspots … births, the number of sunspots has a positive, albeit small effect on the number of births which is decreasing over time. The … frequency of daily births. -- Daily frequency of births ; lunar cycle ; sunspots …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008934973
The paper finds empirical evidence on the ripple effect of sunspots on the interwar German economy. It identifies a … a long boom from 1933 onwards. Overall, a tangible fraction of interwar output volatility is attributed to sunspots …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760865
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Based on multivariate linear regression models, we analyze the effect of the lunar cycle and the number of sunspots … births, the number of sunspots has a positive, albeit small effect on the number of births which is decreasing over time. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014188338
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001509003
This paper provides a preliminary assessment of recent reforms of German employment promotion policy. While several recent studies analyze the impact of measures of employment promotion for the case of Germany, no comparable study exists on the aggregate level, thus precluding any assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001509837
In this paper, I study temporary migrations, and its consequences for immigrants' behaviour. I distinguish between temporary migrations where the return time is exogenous, and temporary migrations where the migrant chooses when to return. I then illustrate the consequences both types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001509843