We present a model of a risk-averse exporting firm subject to exchange rate risk. The firm enters an unbiased currency futures market to hedge its exchange rate risk exposure. In the real world there are other ways of evading uncertainty, the most common are holding of inventories. We...

Many empirical studies find a negative correlation between the returns on the nominal spot exchange rate and the lagged forward discount. This forward discount anomaly implies that the current forward rate is a biased predictor of the future spot rate. A large number of studies in the existing...