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cointegration estimation techniques, we examine different determinants for their ability to explain German exports during the period …
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Zentrales Anliegen des Autors ist es, die mittel- bis langfristige Entwicklung des realen Außenwertes der DM im letzten Vierteljahrhundert zu erklären. Nach einer kurzen Übersicht über Theorien zur Wechselkursbestimmung aus der Literatur werden die Elemente des hier gewählten theoretischen...
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effect of globalization is often neglected leading to implausibly high income elasticities. This paper models export demand … vector error correction model is the appropriate econometric framework. Using the Johansen procedure, two cointegration … relationships are found and identified as export supply and demand. Overidentifying restrictions derived from economic theory are …
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predicted export growth. Moreover, taking into account quantity and price effects caused by changes in the real exchange rate … the real exchange rate is the indicator to focus on in explaining German export success. …
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