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This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
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data on stock market indices for Germany, the United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands and Italy from 1973 to 2001 … pair considered. For example, stock markets in the Netherlands and France are more closely and those in the United Kingdom …
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