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Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to apply a regularization strategy and solve the model selection task as a continuous optimization problem. One of the most popular approaches in this research field is given by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
The aim of this paper is to introduce a new model selection mechanism for cross sectional spatial models. This method is more flexible than the approach proposed by Florax et al. (2003) since it controls for spatial dependence as well as for spatial heterogeneity. In particular, Bayesian and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003922966
Motivated by economic-theory concepts - the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure - we consider a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009735355
Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to apply a regularization strategy and solve the model selection task as a continuous optimization problem. One of the most popular approaches in this research field is given by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291802
This paper introduces a new approach to modelling the conditional variance in a multivariate setting. It is essentially a combination of the popular GARCH model class with a spatial component, inspired by generalized space-time models. The resulting spatial GARCH model takes into account both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097898
An explication of the key ideas behind the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Approach. The CVAR approach is related to Haavelmo's famous quot;Probability Approach in Econometricsquot; (1944). It insists on careful stochastic specification as a necessary groundwork for econometric inference and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726093
Electricity price forecasting has become an area of increasing relevance in recent years. Despite the growing interest in predictive algorithms, the challenges are difficult to overcome given the restricted access to relevant data series and the lack of accurate metrics. Multiple models have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464238
This paper investigates the dependence structure between the equity market and the foreign exchange market by using copulas. In particular, several copulas with different dependence structure are compared and used to directly model the underlying dependence structure. We find that there exists...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029560
Unemployment duration data derived from retrospective surveys often show an abnormal concentration of responses at certain durations. This common kind of measurement error is known as "heaping" in the statistical literature. Although heaping effects may lead to severe biases in estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622954
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000531508