This paper uses new household survey data to study expectation formation during the recent housing boom in Germany. The cross section of forecasts depends on only two household characteristics: location and tenure. The average household in a region responds to local conditions but underpredicts...

This paper uses new household survey data to study expectation formation during the recent housing boom in Germany. The cross section of forecasts depends on only two household characteristics: location and tenure. The average household in a region responds to local conditions but underpredicts...

Die Erfolgswirkungen des Human- und Organisationskapitals werden bislang mit Daten von Unternehmen aus mehreren Branchen untersucht. Dem überlegen wäre eine branchenfokussierte, insider-ökonometrische Forschungsstrategie. Dies wird anhand der veröffentlichten Studien begründet und mit einer...

This paper uses new household survey data to study expectation formation during the recent housing boom in Germany. The cross section of forecasts depends on only two household characteristics: location and tenure. The average household in a region responds to local conditions but underpredicts...