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Global and country-specific business cycle risk in time-vaying excess returns on asset markets

Nitschka, Thomas - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009674033

Sources of euro real exchange rate fluctuations : what is behind the euro weakness in 1999 - 2000

Döpke, Jörg; Gottschalk, Jan; Kamps, Christophe - 2001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001584428

Sources of euro real exchange rate fluctuations : what is behind the euro weakness in 1999-2000?

Döpke, Jörg; Gottschalk, Jan; Kamps, Christophe - 2001

This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872

Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time

Döpke, Jörg (contributor); Hartmann, Daniel (contributor); … - 2006

We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we … used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based criterion to evaluate volatility forecasts. Our main result is … that the statistical and economic value of volatility forecasts based on real-time data is comparable to the value of …