In 2005, the German government announced a far-reaching fiscal adjustment program. This paper uses the IMF's Global Fiscal Model to study its impact and explores options for addressing long-term pressures from population aging. The growth effects of the planned VAT increase are likely modest,...

We study state-dependent effects of narratively identified tax shocks in Germany and the UK over the period 1974Q1-2018Q4 using local projections. In addition, we distinguish between aggregated and disaggregated tax types (direct and indirect taxes) as well as look for possible asymmetries...

This paper quantifies the dynamic macroeconomic effects of tax changes in Germany, allowing for anticipation effects of preannounced tax reforms. Identification is achieved using a narrative approach which provides information about the timing of tax reforms. For an anticipated tax shock, we...

We study state-dependent effects of narratively identified tax shocks in Germany and the UK over the period 1974Q1–2018Q4 using local projections. In addition, we distinguish between aggregated and disaggregated tax types (direct and indirect taxes) as well as look for possible asymmetries...

In recent years, a lot of rules concerning government expenditures as well as tax revenues were changed in Germany. Government expenditures in relation to GDP were reduced, income tax rates were lowered and the budget deficit declined. The structure of government expenditures changed in favor of...

Der Kurs der Finanzpolitik in Deutschland hat sich im Verlauf des Jahres 1999 geändert. Ausgabenkürzungen wurden durchgesetzt, deutliche Steuersenkungen sind geplant. Die Finanzpolitik fördert das Wachstum der Wirtschaft. Allerdings sind die Steuersenkungen bei weitem nicht so groß wie oft...

Der Abbau der kalten Progression wird aktuell wieder diskutiert. An einigen Eckwerten des Einkommensteuertarifs lässt sich zeigen, dass die tatsächliche Entwicklung deutlich von den zum Ausgleich der Inflation erforderlichen Tarifänderungen abweicht. Die Autoren berechnen die Mindereinnahmen...

Cyclically induced changes in taxes and government expenditures which tend to stabilise aggregate output are called automatic stabilisers. Using a small macro model, this paper reviews alternative methods of measuring the smoothing power of automatic stabilisers and discusses their relationship...

We investigate the short-term effects of fiscal policy shocks on the German economy following the SVAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002). We find that direct government expenditure shocks increase output and private consumption on impact with low statistical significance, while they...