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In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and … declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at the end of the nineties of the last century. 2) The business cycle …
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We introduce a high-dimensional structural time series model, where co-movement between the components is due to common factors. A two-step estimation strategy is presented, which is based on principal components in differences in a first step and state space methods in a second step. The...
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This paper introduces and examines a definition of an equilibrium rate of unemployment that can be used as mismatch …
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measures in a computable general equilibrium model on the contribution and replacement rates, as well as on employment, the …
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