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This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad-hoc specifications others are derived from a representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297345
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of overconfidence of Gervais and Odean (2001), successful forecasters become more overconfident. What?s more, more experienced forecasters have ?learned to be overconfident,? and hence are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297495
This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad-hoc specifications others are derived from a representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298005
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of overconfidence of Gervais and Odean (2001), successful forecasters have become more overconfident. What's more, more experienced forecasters have learned to be overconfident, and hence are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266951
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003755805
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008906813
This paper presents and compares several time-series models for returns of broadbased stock indices. These models nest a nonlinear asymmetric GARCH (NGARCH) model as a special case. Some of these models are empirically motivated ad-hoc specifications others are derived from a representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003670896
As agroup, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of overconfidence of Gervais and Odean (2001), successful forecasters have become more overconfident. What's more, more experienced forecasters have "learned to be overconfident," and hence are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003222141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001695976
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001945539