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This work extends earlier survey studies on the use of technical analysis by considering flow analysis as a third form of information production. Moreover the survey covers FX dealers and also the rising fund managers. Technical analysis has gained importance over time and is now the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317611
This paper provides questionnaire evidence on the role of flow analysis for professional traders and fund managers. This evidence suggests that besides fundamental information and technical analysis, the analysis of flows provides an independent third type of information for professionals. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317624
The coordination channel has been proposed as a means by which foreign exchange market intervention may be effective, in addition to the traditional portfolio balance and signaling channels. If strong and persistent misalignments of the exchange rate are caused by non-fundamental influences,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295796
In this paper we provide evidence for Evans and Lyons' (2005b) model of an information aggregation process in FX markets using a German bank's end-user order flow from 2002 to 2003. Though customer order flow is unambiguously the vehicle incorporating non-public information into exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295842
The aim of this paper is to detect periods in which two currencies can be classified as being the'same' asset. Two currencies can be treated as the same asset if their exchange rates vis-à-vis the same base currency are cointegrated with a cointegration vector that is consistent with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300152
This paper examines the trading behavior of individual investors using a proprietary intraday dataset of a large pool of retail investor aggregate (minute by minute) long and short positions in EUR/USD for the period July 2014 to April 2016. Standard event study analysis shows no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243514
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013261076
The purpose of this paper is to carry out a specification analysis of a test relation for the unbiasedness hypothesis using thirty-day forward foreign exchange data from France, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and West Germany. The results indicate that econometric problems do exist for each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109951
The aim of this paper is to detect periods in which two currencies can be classified as being theʺsameʺ asset. Two currencies can be treated as the same asset if their exchange rates vis-`a-vis the same base currency are cointegrated with a cointegration vector that is consistent with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003776194
A contingent claims valuation model which allows to highlight the implications of program trading in spot markets for the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476532