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In the monthly ifo Business Survey around 9,000 German companies answer questions about their current business situation, expectations and plans for the near future as well as on other business variables. This paper provides an overview of all regular questions (monthly, quarterly, bi-annually,...
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between migration and fertility into a forecasting model. Next to the detailed and stochastic quantification of age …
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-time and final data releases differ, we also observe minimal impacts on the relative forecasting performance of indicator …
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This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The model accounts for cross-correlation and autocorrelation...
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We present a comprehensive disaggregate approach for short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany by explicitly …
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