This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...

This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals ́expectations vary considerably as they generally...

Innerhalb des Euroraums haben sich in den letzten Jahren erhebliche Zinsspreads entwickelt. Der Autor vertritt die Auffassung, dass diese Spreads die Entwicklung der wirtschaftlichen Fundamentaldaten nachzeichnen. Auf diese Fundamentaldaten und entsprechend auch auf die Spreads habe die Finanz-...