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rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426365
Persistently high unemployment rates in Germany have led to a long-running controversy on the causes of the … unemployment problem. This paper aims to re­view the contribution of Keynesian and monetarist theories to this controversy and … explores empirically their implications for the explanation of high un­em­ploy­ment in Germany using a structural vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474695
Persistently high unemployment rates in Germany have led to a long-running controversy on the causes of the … unemployment problem. This paper aims to re­view the contribution of Keynesian and monetarist theories to this controversy and … explores empirically their implications for the explanation of high un­em­ploy­ment in Germany using a structural vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260487
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment … occurrence of shocks and hysteresis effects, the (mis-)measurement of important variables such as in ation expectations …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment … occurrence of shocks and hysteresis effects, the (mis-)measurement of important variables such as in ation expectations …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
The creation of jobs in the low-pay sector is considered to be an approach to reduce unemployment, especially with … evaluate the effects of an increasing low-wage sector on unemployment, the concept of the non-accelerating inflation rate of … unemployment (NAIRU) is used. In a first step, the unobservable, exogenous NAIRU is estimated for Germany in a state space setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306634
/price-setting theory, this increase should reduce structural unemployment, because labour market flexibility increases and labour costs … impact of the relationship between the extensiveness of the low-pay sector and structural unemployment. Data from Germany … 1991 to 2008, indicate a positive impact of the growing low-wage sector on structural unemployment. Moreover, some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425853
In this paper we analyze the sources of German unemployment within a structural vector error correction model (SVECM … parameter restrictions. A cointegration analysis for the unified Germany reveals a long rum relationship between real wages …, productivity and unemployment which is interpreted as a wage setting relation. From a Subset VECM we identify meaningful structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616
We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260542
This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and simulation purposes. The authors estimate both single and system error correction equations for German working hours using quarterly raw data covering the period 1980:1-2004:2....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744528