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Predicting birth-rates through German micro-census data : a comparison of probit and Boolean regression
Hufnagel, Rainer (contributor) - 2008
Boolean Regression. The data forming the basis for this investigation are from the German Micro-census waves of 1996 2002 and … comprise about 400 000 observations. Boolean Regression is used to predict how birth events depend on the socio …-economic characteristics of women and their male partners. Boolean Regression is compared to Probit. The data set is split into two halves in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729733
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A principal component simulation of age-specific fertility : impacts of family and social policy on reproductive behavior in Germany
Vanella, Patrizio; Deschermeier, Philipp - 2018
This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The model accounts for cross-correlation and autocorrelation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860247
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The intergenerational transmission of educational attainment in East and West Germany
Riphahn, Regina T.; Trübswetter, Parvati - 2011
schooling outcomes in East and West Germany. Based on data from the German Mikrozensus we find that educational mobility is … Jugendlichen in Ost- und Westdeutschland über die Zeit. Daten des Mikrozensus zeigen, dass die Bildungsmobilität in Ostdeutschland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286666
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The Decline in German Output Volatility: A Bayesian Analysis
Liesenfeld, Roman; Hogrefe, Jens; Aßmann, Christian - 2005
Empirical evidence suggests a sharp volatility decline of the growth in U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) in the mid-1980s. Using Bayesian methods, we analyze whether a volatility reduction can also be detected for the German GDP. Since statistical inference for volatility processes critically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296255
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Family Background Variables as Instruments for Education in Income Regressions: A Bayesian Analysis
Hoogerheide, Lennart; Block, Joern H.; Thurik, Roy - 2010
The validity of family background variables instrumenting education in income regressions has been much criticized. In this paper, we use data of the 2004 German Socio-Economic Panel and Bayesian analysis in order to analyze to what degree violations of the strong validity assumption affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326044
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Children and Women's Participation Dynamics: Transitory and Long-Term Effects
Voicu, Alexandru; Buddelmeyer, Hielke - 2003
Children affect the after-birth labor force participation of women in two ways. Directly, the time spent in child-care reduces the labor market effort. The time spent out of the labor market while on maternity leave alters women's participation experience and, thus, indirectly affects subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261954
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Family background variables as instruments for education in income regressions : a Bayesian analysis
Hoogerheide, Lennart; Block, Jörn; Thurik, Adriaan R. - 2010 - Current version: July 2010
The validity of family background variables instrumenting education in income regressions has been much criticized. In this paper, we use data of the 2004 German Socio-Economic Panel and Bayesian analysis in order to analyze to what degree violations of the strong validity assumption affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381026
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Marketing response models for shrinking beer sales in Germany
Polasek, Wolfgang - 2012
demand factors jointly in a log-linear regression model that are correlated over time. The estimated model can explain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684800
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Children and Women's Participation Dynamics : Transitory and Long-Term Effects
Voicu, Alexandru; Buddelmeyer, Hielke - 2021
Children affect the after-birth labor force participation of women in two ways. Directly, the time spent in child-care reduces the labor market effort. The time spent out of the labor market while on maternity leave alters women's participation experience and, thus, indirectly affects subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320019
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Family Background Variables as Instruments for Education in Income Regressions : A Bayesian Analysis
Hoogerheide, Lennart F.; Block, Jorn H.; Thurik, Roy - 2013
The validity of family background variables instrumenting education in income regressions has been much criticized. In this paper, we use data from the 2004 German Socio-Economic Panel and Bayesian analysis to analyze to what degree violations of the strict validity assumption affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014192450