Showing 1 - 10 of 1,666
We use parametric power ARCH models of the conditional variance of inflation to model the relationship between … inflation and its uncertainty using monthly data for Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden over a period ranging from 1962 to 2004 ….For all three countries inflation significantly raises inflation uncertainty as predicted by Friedman. Increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274364
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far beyond unity, whatever measure of expected … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent following roughly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297970
We use parametric power ARCH models of the conditional variance of inflation to model the relationship between … inflation and its uncertainty using monthly data for Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden over a period ranging from 1962 to 2004 …. For all three countries inflation significantly raises inflation uncertainty as predicted by Friedman. Increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729754
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
This paper is devoted to a new estimation of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) for the West …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428346
markets and inflation is analyzed. The results of Granger-causality tests reveal that stock market has no predictive power … volatility for inflation uncertainty, et vice versa. Regarding the subsequent volatility of short-term and of long-term interest … rate. In contrast, inflation uncertainty provides some information. The hypothesis of a causality running from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275547
We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489
This paper is devoted to a new estimation of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) for the West …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297704
Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far beyond unity, whatever measure of expected … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent following roughly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773106