This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and …, however, is affected by German reunification and relative factor prices no longer play a significant role. The forecasting …

This study introduces a monthly coincident indicator for consumption in Germany based on Google Trends data on web …

already captured in other macroeconomic variables. -- Google Trends, Private Consumption, Forecasting, Consumer Sentiment … provided by Google Trends. The indicator is based on unobserved factors extracted from a set of consumption-related search … categories of the Google Trends application Insights for Search. The predictive performance of the indicator is assessed in real …

statistical forecasting models improves the forecasting performance in almost all cases. However, the challenge to identify … irregular events and to find the appropriate time series from Google Insights for search remains. -- Forecast adjustment … ; Google Trends ; private consumption …

provided by Google Trends. The indicator is based on unobserved factors extracted from a set of consumption-related search … categories of the Google Trends application Insights for Search. The predictive performance of the indicator is assessed in real … confidence indicator. In out-of-sample nowcasting experiments the Google indicator outperformed the survey-based indicators. In …

data using economic variables and Google online search data. An out-of-sample forecasting comparison with forecast horizons … 2014M6. Models including Google search data statistically outperformed the competing models for most of the car brands and …-of-sample forecasts, directional accuracy, the variability of Google data and additional car brands …

period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic variables. The years 2000 - 2003 are used as forecasting period. A range of … different univariate forecasting methods is applied. Some of them are based on linear autoregressive models and we also use some … forecasting variables which need considerable adjustments in their levels when joining German and EMU data. These results suggest …

incorporate Google search data into a Bridge Equation Model, a version of which usually belongs to the suite of forecasting models … this respect. As the choice of which Google search terms to add to which equation is crucial - for the forecasting …There has been increased interest in the use of "big data" when it comes to forecasting macroeconomic time series such …

between migration and fertility into a forecasting model. Next to the detailed and stochastic quantification of age …