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This paper investigates the link between fiscal policy shocks and movements in asset markets using a Fully Simultaneous System approach in a Bayesian framework. Building on the works of Blanchard and Perotti (2002), Leeper and Zha (2003), and Sims and Zha (1999, 2006), the empirical evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826474
Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153230
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009241494
Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank - which is near-universally credited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969295
Grundlagen der Geldpolitik 5 2.1 Ziele der Geldpolitik … 5 2.2 Strategien der Geldpolitik 8 2.2.1 Geldmengensteuerung … 5.4.2 Die Auswirkungen von Vermögenspreisblasen in den USA 113 5.4.3 Die Auswirkungen von …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008661926
We employ a cross-quantilogram approach to assess relationships between quantiles of stock returns and sovereign yields, in the U.S. and Germany, in the period 1990-2024. Specifically, we focus on the lowest 5% quantile of stock returns and the highest 5% quantile of bond returns, providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197299
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impliziert einen potentiellen Nachteil der aktuellen Geldpolitik der EZB. Die a priori Information schrumpft die BVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011494870
Applying a BVAR model, the present paper first identifies the possible drivers of Germany's TARGET claims. In this context, in terms of potential causes, a distinction is made between a rise in the global risk assessment, tensions within the euro area, and European monetary policy. It becomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510162