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domestic volatility after good shocks but a bad hedge after crashes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966258
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments … implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors …, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655300
, an estimation of volatility in the DAX is provided. Such estimation is then plugged into a quantile regression model …This paper addresses stock market volatility in Germany between 1991 and 2018. Through a GARCH model with leverage term … where potential economic determinants are analyzed. The results suggest that stock market volatility in Germany reached its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629944
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991280
prices caused by stochastic volatility. -- option pricing ; autoregression ; heteroskedasticity ; GARCH ; leverage effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460