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financial markets favours the volatility and return spillover between them. The current study analyses the volatility spillover … proposed by Antonakakis and Gabauer (2017) is used to estimate the evolution in time of volatility spillover. The empirical … results obtained for the period January 2001 - September 2021 highlight the increase in volatility spillover between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013500945
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
domestic volatility after good shocks but a bad hedge after crashes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009155466
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the …-known stylized effects present in financial data. We consider an HAR model with asymmetric effects with respect to the volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130487
volatility (RV) of ten global stock market indices in the period from January 2000 to December 2021. We train models using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076641
of the most important components of the financial sector, the equity market played a more and more important role. Thus … facts, volatility clustering and conditional heavy tails, we take advantage of the framework in Guo (2017a) and consider …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950463