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German trade forecasts since 1970 : an evaluation using the panel dimension
Behrens, Christoph - 2020
. To this end, I use a novel panel-data set and estimate fixed-effects models taking into account panel-corrected standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304607
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Tracking and predicting the German economy : ifo vs. PMI
Lehmann, Robert; Reif, Magnus - 2020
This analysis investigates the predictive power of the most important leading indicators for the German economy, which are provided by the ifo Institute and IHS Markit. We conduct an out-of-sample, real-time forecast experiment for growth of gross domestic product and growth of gross value added...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174766
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Essays in applied panel data econometrics
Kremer, Stephanie - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009503994
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The macroeconomic projections of the German government : a comparison to an independent forecasting institution
Lehmann, Robert; Wollmershäuser, Timo - In: German economic review : GER 21 (2020) 2, pp. 235-270
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240884
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Could the start of the German recession 2008-2009 have been foreseen? : evidence from real-time data
Heilemann, Ullrich; Schnorr-Bäcker, Susanne - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 237 (2017) 1, pp. 29-62
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865303
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The macroeconomic projections of the German government : a comparison to an independent forecasting institution
Lehmann, Robert; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2019
This paper investigates the macroeconomic projections of the German government since the 1970s and compares it those of the Joint Economic Forecast, which is an in-dependent forecasting institution in Germany. Our results indicate that nominal GDP projections are upward biased for longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958832
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Assessing the bias due to non-coverage of residential movers in the German microcensus panel : an evaluation using data from the socio-economic panel
Rendtel, Ulrich (contributor); Basic, Edin (contributor) - 2007
methods perform that promise to reduce such a bias. Based on data of the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), which covers …The German Microcensus (MC) is a large scale rotating panel survey over three years. The MC is attractive for … indicate that weighting by inverse mobility scores reduces the bias to about 60 percent whereas the official longitudinal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003526212
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Assessing the bias due non-coverage of residential movers in the German microcensus panel : an evaluation using data from the socio-economic panel
Basic, Edin; Rendtel, Ulrich - In: Advances in statistical analysis : AStA ; a journal of … 91 (2007) 3, pp. 311-334
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003558123
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A comparison of dynamic panel data estimators : Monte Carlo evidence and an application to the investment function
Behr, Andreas - 2003
In our analysis we discuss several dynamic panel data estimators proposed in the literature and assess their … estimator is biased in the context of dynamic estimation. The estimators taking into account the resulting bias can be grouped … broadly into the class of instrumental estimators and the class of direct bias corrected estimators. The simulation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431996
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Is there a fade-away effect of initial nonresponse bias in EU-SILC?
Rendtel, Ulrich - 2015
Nonresponse in surveys may result in a distortion of the distribution of interest. In a panel survey the participation … restates a result for Finland for the ECHP (European Community Household Panel). A second condition concerns the selectivity of … panel attrition after wave one. Here panel attrition must not depend on the income state of the previous panel wave. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312698