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Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Using Fractionally Integrated Models of Conditional Volatility : International Evidence
Degiannakis, Stavros Antonios - 2018
forecasting horizons. Therefore, a long memory volatility model compared to a short memory GARCH model does not appear to improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910119
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The role of jumps and leverage in forecasting volatility in international equity markets
Buncic, Daniel; Gisler, Katja Ida Maria - In: Journal of international money and finance 79 (2017), pp. 1-19
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788346
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Modeling and forecasting realized volatility in German-Austrian continuous intraday electricity prices
Ciarreta, Aitor; Muniain, Peru; Zarraga, Ainhoa - In: Journal of forecasting 36 (2017) 6, pp. 680-690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011861404
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The ARCH Effect : a model of gradual anticipation for autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns
El Din, Tarek Mohy - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000623956
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Long-term vs. short-term comovements in stock markets : the use of Markov-switching multifractal models
Idier, Julien - In: The European journal of finance 17 (2011) 1/2, pp. 27-48
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009155466
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Components of intraday volatility and their prediction at different sampling frequencies with application to DAX and BUND futures
Herrmann, Klaus; Teis, Stefan; Yu, Weijun - 2014
The adjusted measure of realized volatility suggested in [20] is applied to high- frequency orderbook and transaction … data of DAX and BUND futures from EU- REX in order to identify the drivers of intraday volatility. Four components are … realized volatility can be predicted by a simple linear model based on the components identified. It is shown how the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442584
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Evaluating density forecasts with an application to stock market returns
Raaij, Gabriela de; Raunig, Burkhard - 2002
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
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Evaluating density forecasts from models of stock market returns
Raaij, Gabriela de; Raunig, Burkhard - In: The European journal of finance 11 (2005) 2, pp. 151-166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002841826
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Evaluating density forecasts with an application to stock market returns
Raaij, Gabriela de; Raaij, Gabriela de; Raunig, Burkhard - 2002
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
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Evaluating density forecasts with an application to stock market returns
Raaij, Gabriela de; Raunig, Burkhard - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001650402