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We explore optimal hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness for the German electricity market. Given the increasing … in order to account for risk reduction through hedging. Results allow us to conclude that: dynamic hedging strategies … provide higher variance reductions in terms of hedging effectiveness; there is poor correlation among spot and futures, not …
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The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
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The German market has seen a plunge in wholesale electricity prices from 2007 until 2014, when base futures prices dropped by more than 40 percent. In this paper we determine the fundamental components of electricity futures prices and quantify their impact on the price drop as well as on...
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