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Germany introduced a new fiscal rule, the ‘debt brake’, after the Global Financial Crisis and since then experienced a strong decline in its public debt to GDP ratio until the coronavirus pandemic struck. The past ten years and the reaction to the current crisis in Germany illustrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549653
Noch zur Jahreswende 2019/2020 prognostizierten die an der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose beteiligten Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute für 2020 staatliche Budgetüberschüsse von 21 Mrd. bis 31 Mrd. Euro. Sie gingen von einer Fortsetzung des Aufschwungs aus und erwarteten eine weitere Besserung der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271819
The German debt brake is often regarded as a great success story, and has therefore served as a role model for the Euro area and its fiscal compact. In this paper we fundamentally criticize the debt brake. We show that (1) it suffers from serious shortcomings, and its success is far from certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187671
Aufgrund der seit langem geführten Debatte um das Für und Wider der Nutzung des Politikinstruments der Staatsverschuldung wissen wir recht viel darüber, was Experten (z. B. Finanzpolitiker/‌-‍wissenschaftler) von Haushaltskonsolidierung, Deficit-Spending oder Verschuldungsgrenzen halten....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155253
This paper explores the factors behind the time path of real spending and revenue in the West German states from 1975 to 2004. The empirical approach stresses robustness and takes into account a large set of economic and political variables. Our results suggest that common economic factors and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299142
In the last decades, the majority of OECD countries has experienced a continuous increase in public debt. The European debt crisis has prompted a fundamental re‐evaluation of public debt sustainability and the looming threat of sovereign debt default. Due to a multitude of large scale events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085753
The German debt brake is often regarded as a great success story, and has therefore served as a role model for the Euro area and its fiscal compact. In this paper we fundamentally criticize the debt brake. We show that (1) it suffers from serious shortcomings, and its success is far from certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074699
Currently fiscal policies in Germany seem to be in a very comfortable position and the German Debt Brake is regarded as an institutional precondition for this success and has been exported to the Euro area in the guise of the Fiscal Compact. In this paper we scrutinize German fiscal policies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756271
The Euro area is currently going through its worst period of recession and economic stagnation since the Great Depression and World War II. The article tries to give an impression of the extraordinary degree of fiscal austerity and the devastating economic effects it has already had and must be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756285
In response to the recent sovereign debt crisis, the member states of the European Union agreed to enact balanced budget rules in their national legislation. However, little is known about the public's opinion of balanced budget rules. To fill this gap, we conducted a survey among 2,000...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010386575