Several recent surveys ask for a person's subjective probabilities that the in- ation rate falls into various outcome … Consumer Expectations. …

We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … indicators. We show that the best set of predictors, within and between categories, changes over time and depends on the forecast …

The paper describes the "Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Forecasting Dashboard (ForDas)". This tool aims at … providing, on a non-commercial basis, historical and actual macroeconomic forecast data for the Germany economy to researchers … and interested audiences. The database renders it possible to directly compare forecast quality across selected …

by many components of the CPI basket. In a comparative analysis of the forecasting power of the different inflation … indicators for the US and Germany, we demonstrate that our inflation sentiment indicators improve forecast accuracy in comparison … inflation measures. -- Inflation forecasting ; monetary policy …

by many components of the CPI basket. In a comparative analysis of the forecasting power of the different inflation … indicators for the US and Germany, we demonstrate that our inflation sentiment indicators improve forecast accuracy in comparison …In this paper we argue that future inflation in an economy depends on the way people perceive current inflation, their …