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). We provide evidence from Monte Carlo simulations for the relative forecast performance of GRNN depending on the data … GRNN to forecast quarterly German GDP growth by extending univariate GRNN to multivariate and mixed-frequency settings. We … such as during the COVID-19 recession and recovery. GRNN was superior in terms of root mean forecast errors compared to an …
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at the current juncture, our forecast implies that the German economy is entering a boom period. Capacity constraints …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060677
The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we … overheating of the German economy is at the horizon. Against this background, the downward risks for the economy increase. Overall …, the German economy will expand on a broad front. Exports are expected to accelerate further, owing to an upswing of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060693
We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … indicators. We show that the best set of predictors, within and between categories, changes over time and depends on the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544
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The prompt availability of information on the current state of the economy in real-time is required for prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361278
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