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to forecast future earnings accurately. This suggests that additional information is released during conference calls …. The reduction in forecast error is economically significant and larger in magnitude when compared to results for the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094228
we expect to be associated with the prevalence of the analyst walk-down forecast pattern. Based on a large sample of 50 … forecast bias involves various forces including a country's institutional infrastructure, and firm and analyst characteristics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943482
Several recent empirical papers assert that the decision to disclose an earnings forecast shortly before the actual … dynamic model of voluntary disclosure, we show that the decision to disclose a short-term earnings forecast reveals managers … decision to disclose a short-term earnings forecast predicts earnings three years beyond the forecasted period, and that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245221
We show analytically under quite general conditions that implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487229
This study tests the performance of stock market forecasts derived from technical analysis by means of a specific indicator. The indicator is computed from E/P ratios and bond yields. Several stock markets are studied over a 20-year period. Two test statistics are introduced to utilize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088794
This paper tests the performance of stock market forecasts derived from technical analysis by means of a specific indicator. The indicator is computed from E/P ratios and bond yields. Several stock markets are studied over a 20-year period. Two test statistics are introduced to utilize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004301
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