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The market model of interest rates specifies simple forward or Libor rates as lognormally distributed, their stochastic dynamics has a linear volatility function. In this paper, the model is extended to quadratic volatility functions which are the product of a quadratic polynomial and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538865
We study the yields in the German treasury bills market. We take a detailed look at the yield banks require to buy treasury bills in the primary market, and we also examine the yield households and nonbank firms demand to buy these bills in the secondary market. We use data from real world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449639
In order to analyse the interest rate transmission mechanism, we study daily Euro-rates term structure for the US, Germany, and the UK between 1983 and 1997. We estimate multivariate VECM-GARCH models, which take into account moste of the usual features of financial data (non-stationarity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131874
To measure the global spillovers of a Chinese slowdown on the long-term nominal interest rates in the US/Germany, I model the US/German nominal term structure jointly in the post financial crisis (FC) sample, including the Chinese leading indicator as a new factor. I use an affine term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913804
Affine term structure models of bond yields are important tools for analyzing fixed income markets and monetary policy. Estimators of Adrian, Crump, and Mönch (2013) and Diez de Los Rios (2015) replace time-consuming nonlinear search procedures with a set of simple linear regressions. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320252
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991346
This paper studies a nonlinear one-factor term structure model in discrete time. The single factor is the short-term interest rate, which is modeled as a self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) process. Our specification allows for shifts in the intercept and the variance. The process is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295839
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The … identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs … apllied to German time-series and cross-section term structure data in order to identify both the risk-neutral and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
McCallum (1994a) proposes a monetary rule where policymakers have some tendency to resist rapid changes in exchange rates to explain the forward premium puzzle. We estimate this monetary policy reaction function within the framework of an affine term structure model to find that, contrary to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775749
, of sovereign credit risk, first and foremost through a transfer of risk from the private financial sector to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969288