base - a two-wave pre- and post-election panel survey of German voters whose first wave was designed as a rolling cross … mattered in the 2005 German parliamentary election in various ways. Combining aggregate-level time-series analyses with … of the election were strongly influenced by combined party shares reported by polling news. In particular, this pertained …

Do incumbents in an election have an advantage, and if so, are these advantages heterogeneous across parties or … government and opposition? We first present a theoretical discussion on the possible heterogeneity of incumbency effects in a … in government. This effect is robust and shows even in state elections that are unrelated to federal elections - calling …

design ; municipality data ; local election results ; divided government effect ; incumbency externality effect … town council election?; (2) Does this partisan identity influence in ensuing higher level elections?; and (3) Do voters … condition their vote for the mayor on the result of the last council election? We collected a unique data set for Germany in …

preferences for divided government. -- regression discontinuity design ; municipality data ; local election results ; divided … interested in: (1) Does the partisan identity of the mayor influence the voter's decision in the subsequent town council election … vote for the mayor on the result of the last council election? We rely on a regression discontinuity design focusing on …

town council election?; (2) Does this partisan identity influence in ensuing higher level elections?; and (3) Do voters … condition their vote for the mayor on the result of the last council election? We collected a unique data set for Germany in … which we link election results for different political institutions at the municipal level. To identify causal effects, we …

interested in: Does the partisan identity of the mayor influence the voter's decision in the subsequent town council election … the mayor on the result of the last council election? We rely on a regression discontinuity design focusing on close … election outcomes based on municipal level data for Germany. We find that the party of the mayor can receive a bonus of 4 …

uncertain prospects of re-election, find it optimal to follow relatively shortsighted fiscal policies, and that this lowers …

uncertain prospects of re-election, find it optimal to follow relatively shortsighted fiscal policies, and that this lowers …