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A High-Frequency Investigation of the Interaction between Volatility and DAX Returns
Masset, Philippe; Wallmeier, Martin - 2023
in volatility. The economic rationale for the effect is still controversial. The competing explanations have different … implications for the origin of the relationship: Are volatility changes induced by index movements, or inversely, does volatility … implied volatility and index return in Germany based on Granger causality tests and impulse-response functions. Our dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257347
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The Time-varying Relationship between Liquidity and Stock Returns : Evidence from Germany
Paul, Thomas; Aryoubi, Abdullah; Walther, Thomas - 2021
This study investigates the structural relationship between illiquidity and ex-ante returns in the German stock market over time. In line with other authors, we show that illiquidity is still a significant factor, but has had a weakened impact in more recent times. When considering structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232292
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How investor attention affects stock returns? : some international evidence
Akarsu, Sergen; Süer, Ömür - In: Borsa Istanbul Review 22 (2022) 3, pp. 616-626
We examine the effects of limited investor attention on stock returns by using Google search volume index to measure investor attention. We also investigate whether national culture and market development have any role in this relationship. We find that the impact of investor attention on stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334801
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Time-varying business volatility, price setting, and the real effects of monetary policy
Bachmann, Ruediger; Born, Benjamin; Elstner, Steffen; … - 2013
Does time-varying business volatility affect the price setting of firms and thus the transmission of monetary policy … Climate Survey the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on the price setting behavior of firms. In a second step, we use a … calibrated New Keynesian business cycle model to gauge the effects of time-varying volatility on the transmission of monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767295
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COVID-19 Infection Data, Policy Interventions or Sentiment; What Explains International Stock Returns and Volatility?
Virk, Nader - 2021
We examine the impact of COVID-19 (C-19) pandemic on global equity markets by constructing novel infection indices. Our results show that the impact of prompt and large-scale policy interventions is ambiguous yet statistically significant. However, in this equivocality, the impact of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242732
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Expected inflation, expected stock returns, and money illusion : what can we learn from survey expectations?
Schmeling, Maik (contributor); Schrimpf, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
We show empirically that survey-based measures of expected inflation are significant and strong predictors of future aggregate stock returns in several industrialized countries both in-sample and out-of-sample. By empirically discriminating between competing sources of this return predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727414
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Sentiment dynamics and stock returns : the case of the German stock market
Lux, Thomas (contributor) - 2008
We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003785005
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Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia : Statistical Inference and International Evidence
Bollerslev, Tim - 2012
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this apparent predictability. Further corroborating the existing evidence of the U.S., we show that country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115149
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Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia : Statistical Inference and International Evidence
Bollerslev, Tim - 2012
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this apparent predictability. Further corroborating the existing evidence of the U.S., we show that country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109053
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Discrete-time stochastic volatility models and MCMC-based statistical inference
Hautsch, Nikolaus (contributor); Ou, Yangguoyi (contributor) - 2008
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817