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Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475861
Implied volatility indices should have information about risk parameters, once they are cleansed of the influence of … normal volatility dynamics and macroeconomic uncertainty. Building on intuition from the dynamic asset pricing literature, we … while controlling for realized volatility, expectations about the macroeconomic outlook, and interest rates. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832589
We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989311
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294706
Does time-varying business volatility affect the price setting of firms and thus the transmission of monetary policy … Climate Survey the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on the price setting behavior of firms. In a second step, we use a … calibrated New Keynesian business cycle model to gauge the effects of time-varying volatility on the transmission of monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767295
Moderationʺ can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility using … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …-run downward trend, which was interrupted by the unification period. Second, the conditional, idiosyncratic firm level volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003729690
Moderation? can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …-run downward trend, which was interrupted by the unification period. Second, the conditional, idiosyncratic firm level volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991121
;Great Moderationquot; can be found in firm level data as well remains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility … trends in unconditional firm level and aggregated output volatility in Germany are similar. There has been a long …-run downward trend, which was interrupted by the unification period. Second, the conditional, idiosyncratic firm level volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753581
In a small structural model we find asymmetries in the effects of monetary policy in Germany depending on whether the economy is in an upswing or a downswing. These two different regimes are also identified using a Markov-switching model and the Kalman filter. Our results indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274488