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Composite survey sentiment as a predictor of future market returns : evidence for German equity indices
Rakovská, Zuzana - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 73 (2021), pp. 473-495
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692413
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Composite survey sentiment as a predictor of future market returns: evidence for German equity indices
Rakovská, Zuzana - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493166
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Der Service Sentiment Indicator : ein Konjunkturklimaindikator für den Wirtschaftszweig unternehmensnahe Dienstleistungen
Kaiser, Ulrich; Buscher, Herbert S. - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000661417
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Creditreform Wirtschaftsindikator : Gesamtbericht und Branchenbericht
Verband der Vereine Creditreform / Creditreform … - Neuss : Verband der Vereine Creditreform - 2006 - 2008,1
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003314059
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The service sentiment indicator : a business climate indicator for the German business : related services sector
Kaiser, Ulrich; Buscher, Herbert S. - 1999
No other area of the German economy has developed so emphatically in the past ten years as that of business-related services. Regardless their growing importance, business-related services still play only a minor role in official statistics. Above all, official statistics do not provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544707
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The service sentiment indicator : a business climate indicator for the German business-related services sector
Kaiser, Ulrich; Buscher, Herbert S. - 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001381612
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Comparing sentiment- and behavioral-based leading indexes for industrial production : when does each fail?
Seip, Knut Lehre; Yilmaz, Yunus; Schröder, Michael - In: Economies : open access journal 7 (2019) 4/104, pp. 1-18
production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in … predicting the general changes in IP (−0.596, range −1.0 to 1.0, −1.0 being best). The ZEW index is very close (−0.583). In third … place comes, somewhat unexpectedly, the behavioral-based unemployment index (−0.564), and last comes order flow, OF (−0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132320
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Factor forecasting using international targeted predictors : the case of German GDP
Schumacher, Christian - 2009
This paper considers factor forecasting with national versus factor forecasting with international data. We forecast German GDP based on a large set of about 500 time series, consisting of German data as well as data from Euro-area and G7 countries. For factor estimation, we consider standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831959
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Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2011
Business tendency survey indicators are widely recognized as a key instrument for business cycle forecasting. Their leading indicator property is assessed with regard to forecasting industrial production in Russia and Germany. For this purpose, vector autoregressive (VAR) models are specified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008807367
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In search of leading indicators of economic activity in Germany
Bandholz, Harm; Funke, Michael - 2001
In this paper we present two new composite leading indicators of economicactivity in Germany estimated using a dynamic factor model with and withoutregime switching. The obtained optimal inferences of business cycle turningpoints indicate that the two-state regime switching procedure leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400394