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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000991781
This note examines how the DEM/USD rate and US short-term and long-term interest rates respond to the release of payroll announcements. In contrast to a recent paper by Edison (1997), who employs a linear econometric model, we test the influence of news by comparing the absolute values of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504320
This paper test for causality between the US Dollar-Euro exchange rate and US-EMU bond yield differentials. To that end, we apply Hsiao (1981)'s sequential procedure to daily data covering the 1999-2011 period. Our results suggest the existence of statistically significant Granger causality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126999
The impact of EMU on the transatlantic exchange rate stability raises the more general question of whether the exchange rate is a useful adjustment instrument or source of instability. We estimate a simple, three-country model for the United States, Germany and France, over the 1972-1995 period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014181129
The structural VAR models for European countries (France, Denmark, and Germany) are developed to examine the monetary policy reactions, especially the within-ERM exchange rate stabilization, during the ERM period. First, impulse responses of monetary instrument and the exchange rate to shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014139848
The objective of this paper is to identify implicit exchange rate regimes for the Spanish peseta/Deutschmark exchange rate. To this end, several statistical approaches, proposed by previous studies, are applied to the period 1965-1998. The results indicate the existence of implicit regimes other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061578
The paper presents estimates of a model of the credibility of the U.K. commitment to its central parity against the deutsche mark during the period of U.K. ERM membership (1990-92). The measure of credibility used is the long-term interest differential with Germany. Credibility is decomposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774281
There is a tension between pre-float instincts that a more disciplined monetary policy should diminish exchange rate volatility with the apparent reality that macroeconomic fundamentals do not drive G3 exchange rates in the short-run. The recent movement towards greater transparency in monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014148858
I estimate how monetary policy affects the exchange rate in Norway using a local projection instrumental variables (LP-IV) framework with high-frequency monetary policy surprises as instruments. I find that a surprise increase in the Norwegian policy interest rate leads to an immediate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015396868
We construct a model in which the real exchange rate is affected by the real interest rate and price differentials as well as real factors that cause shocks to the expected flexible-price equilibrium value of the real exchange rate. The model is then employed to test for the "generalized"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014085409