This note examines how the DEM/USD rate and US short-term and long-term interest rates respond to the release of payroll announcements. In contrast to a recent paper by Edison (1997), who employs a linear econometric model, we test the influence of news by comparing the absolute values of the...

This paper test for causality between the US Dollar-Euro exchange rate and US-EMU bond yield differentials. To that end, we apply Hsiao (1981)'s sequential procedure to daily data covering the 1999-2011 period. Our results suggest the existence of statistically significant Granger causality...

The impact of EMU on the transatlantic exchange rate stability raises the more general question of whether the exchange rate is a useful adjustment instrument or source of instability. We estimate a simple, three-country model for the United States, Germany and France, over the 1972-1995 period....

The structural VAR models for European countries (France, Denmark, and Germany) are developed to examine the monetary policy reactions, especially the within-ERM exchange rate stabilization, during the ERM period. First, impulse responses of monetary instrument and the exchange rate to shocks...

The objective of this paper is to identify implicit exchange rate regimes for the Spanish peseta/Deutschmark exchange rate. To this end, several statistical approaches, proposed by previous studies, are applied to the period 1965-1998. The results indicate the existence of implicit regimes other...

The paper presents estimates of a model of the credibility of the U.K. commitment to its central parity against the deutsche mark during the period of U.K. ERM membership (1990-92). The measure of credibility used is the long-term interest differential with Germany. Credibility is decomposed...

There is a tension between pre-float instincts that a more disciplined monetary policy should diminish exchange rate volatility with the apparent reality that macroeconomic fundamentals do not drive G3 exchange rates in the short-run. The recent movement towards greater transparency in monetary...

I estimate how monetary policy affects the exchange rate in Norway using a local projection instrumental variables (LP-IV) framework with high-frequency monetary policy surprises as instruments. I find that a surprise increase in the Norwegian policy interest rate leads to an immediate...

We construct a model in which the real exchange rate is affected by the real interest rate and price differentials as well as real factors that cause shocks to the expected flexible-price equilibrium value of the real exchange rate. The model is then employed to test for the "generalized"...