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A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400913
To measure the global spillovers of a Chinese slowdown on the long-term nominal interest rates in the US/Germany, I model the US/German nominal term structure jointly in the post financial crisis (FC) sample, including the Chinese leading indicator as a new factor. I use an affine term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913804
It is important for monetary policy makers to know how closely money market rates follow the policy rates they set. This paper looks at the volatility and persistence of divergences between short-term market interest rates away from policy rates. This may also offer insights into the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014152269
The paper derives the monetary policy reaction function implied by money growth targeting. It consists of an interest rate response to deviations of the inflation rate from target, to the change in the output gap, to money demand shocks and to the lagged interest rate. In the second part, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991301
-time output gap uncertainty is accounted for. One reason is that targeting money growth introduces history dependence into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991255
Papers estimating the reaction function of the Bundesbank generally find that its monetary policy from the 1970s to 1998 can well be captured by a standard Taylor rule according to which the central bank responds to the output gap and to deviations of inflation from target, but not to monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295652
The paper derives the monetary policy reaction function implied by money growth targeting. It consists of an interest rate response to deviations of the inflation rate from target, to the change in the output gap, to money demand shocks and to the lagged interest rate. In the second part, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295843
-time output gap uncertainty is accounted for. One reason is that targeting money growth introduces history dependence into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295868
This study uses a Bayesian VAR to demonstrate that the recent house price boom in Germany can be explained by falling interest rates and that higher interest rates are likely suciffient to stop the increase of German house prices. The latter suggests a potential drawback of the current monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011494870