Amisano, Gianni; Fagan, Gabriel - 2010
We develop a time-varying transition probabilities Markov Switching model in which inflation is characterised by two … stability. - Money growth ; inflation regimes ; early warning ; time varying transition probabilities ; Markov Switching model … regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and …